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Selection Sunday: 2025 March Madness men’s bracket and predictions

Final seeding and regional breakdown for the 2025 March Madness tournament, with betting predictions from sports analysts and wagering experts.

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Selection Sunday is done and dusted. The brackets are set. All that’s left is the beautiful chaos of March Madness.

As always, 68 teams will take part in the NCAA men’s tournament and compete for a shot at basketball immortality. The single-elimination bracket is made up of 31 teams that automatically qualified through winning a conference tournament, and 37 at-large teams chosen by the selection committee.

The tournament begins with the First Four on March 18–19 and culminated in the NCCA Championship Game on April 7 at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

NCAA Men’s bracket: seeding and stolen bids

The SEC set a new record for the most teams from a single conference to make the tournament at 14. The previous all-time mark was 11, and all 14 teams were ranked inside the top 41, so the SEC is historically deep this season.

Selection Sunday always brings controversy, and this year it was centered around North Carolina. The Tar Heels earned a place in the First Four despite going 1-12 in Quad-I games.

West Virginia is the team that should feel most aggrieved to lose out to North Carolina. Selection Committee Chair Bubba Cunningham said the Mountaineers losing star Tucker DeVries to a season-ending shoulder injury influenced the decision.

Unsurprisingly, the four No. 1 seeds — Florida, Duke, Auburn, and Houston — are the bookies’ favorites to win the tournament, with the Gators taking the top spot. Alabama, Tennessee, and Michigan State are also viewed as strong title contenders.

Basketball Illustration

East Regional

Top-seed Duke enters the tournament looking to end a nine-year run without a National Championship, an eternity for a program with five titles.

The biggest pre-tournament story is the health of Blue Devils superstar Cooper Flagg. The presumptive No. 1 pick in the NBA draft missed most of the ACC tournament with an ankle injury.

Duke didn’t miss a step without the Wooden Award favorite, though. The team showcased its depth and scoring prowess without relying on Flagg, beating Louisville to claim the ACC Tournament crown. If Flagg is healthy, Duke will be tough to beat.

Elsewhere in the East, Alabama is coming in with the highest-scoring offense in the country. Led by senior guard Mark Sears, the high-flying Tide should be the biggest threat to Duke’s run to the Final Four.

TeamRecord Overall seed
1 — Duke31–32
2 — Alabama25–86
3 — Wisconsin28–512
4 — Arizona22–1216
5 —Oregon 24–919
6 — Brigham Young24–921
7 —Saint Mary’s28–527
8 — Mississippi State21–1232
9 — Baylor 19–1435
10 — Vanderbilt20–1239
11 — Virginia Commonwealth28–645
12 — Liberty 28–650
13 — Akron28–653
14 — Montana25–958
15 —Robert Morris26–859
16 — American/Mount St. Mary’s (First Four)22–12 / 22–1265/66

South Regional

Auburn earned the No. 1 in the entire tournament with a dominant showing across nearly the entire season. Emphasis on nearly. After winning 27 out of 28 regular-season games, the Tigers lost their final two games to close the campaign. They then lost to Tennessee in the SEC Tournament semi-final.

The Tigers are still a force to be reckoned with despite their late-season slump. Johni Broome is the key to Auburn winning its first national title after an outstanding season.

Michigan State has a top-five defense to potentially challenge Auburn, though its struggles from deep have capped the offense. Meanwhile, the No. 4 seed Texas A&M will be buoyed after they were one of the two teams to beat Auburn to close the regular season.

TeamRecord Overall seed
1 — Auburn28–51
2 — Michigan State24–107
3 — Iowa State24–910
4 — Texas A&M22–1013
5 —Michigan25–917
6 — Mississippi22–1124
7 —Marquette23–1026
8 — Louisville27–729
9 — Creighton24–1033
10 — New Mexico26–738
11 — San Diego State/North Carolina (First Four)21–9 / 22–1343/46
12 — UC San Diego30–447
13 — Yale22–751
14 — Lipscomb25–955
15 —Bryant23–1162
16 — Alabama State/Saint Francis (First Four)19–15 / 16–1767/68

West Regional

Florida (+350) is the slight favorite to cut down the nets, just ahead of Duke (+360), according to BetMGM. The Gators haven’t won a National Championship since back-to-back titles in 2006–07. But they stamped their credentials with a dominant run to the SEC Tournament title.

The West is the region of star coaches. Rick Pinino is leading St. John’s and Bill Self is the top man at Kansas. Also, John Calipari steers Arkansas and Dan Hurley is in charge of UConn, the back-to-back reigning champions.

The Red Storm, who won their first Big East Tournament title in 25 years, are positioned as the top threat to Florida thanks to a top-three defense. Pitino is already the only coach to win a National Championship at two different schools, so he has a chance to extend his record.

TeamRecord Overall seed
1 — Florida30–44
2 — St. John’s30–48
3 — Texas Tech25–89
4 — Maryland25–815
5 — Memphis29–520
6 — Missouri22–1123
7 —Kansas21–1228
8 — Connecticut23–1031
9 — Oklahoma20–1336
10 — Arkansas20–1337
11 — Drake30–344
12 — Colorado State25–948
13 — Grand Canyon26–754
14 — North Carolina Wilmington27–757
15 — Omaha22–1161
16 — Norfolk State19–1063

Midwest Regional

Houston boasts a No. 1 seed for a third straight season and is riding a 13-game winning streak. The team will be hoping to finally get over the hump after two straight Sweet 16 exits.

The Cougars don’t quite have the elite offense of the other top seeds Duke, Florida, and Auburn, but they’ve taken a big leap this season. Houston’s top three scores — L.J. Cryer, Emanuel Sharp, and Milos Uzan — are all shooting over 42% from beyond the arc.

Kelvin Sampson’s squad will certainly have its challengers, though. Tennessee might be volatile, but at its peak, the team is a genuine title threat. Gonzaga might be the No. 8 seed, but KenPom has it as the ninth-best outfit. Meanwhile, Purdue is a year removed from a national title game appearance.

The experts’ take: 2025 March Madness betting predictions

As the March Madness action unfolds, we’re undoubtedly in for some dunking delights. If you’re a punter looking to back your favorites, NCAA betting can be daunting to get into, but lends well to data-driven predictions.

Predictions are guided by hard benchmarks, like record, strength of schedule, NET, and player performance, but analysts factor in recent form, post-season momentum, non-conference performance, and injuries as well.

To make informed decisions when wagering on the NCAA tournament, our betting experts recommend familiarizing with the available markets, in-play line movement, and state-based NCAA restrictions at trusted March Madness sportsbooks.

To help you get started, the sports betting analysts and sports commentators below take a deep dive into the metrics, bringing you their Final Four and outright predictions for this year’s tournament.

Betting analyst SourceFinal Four picks Championship
Blake ToppmeyerUSA TODAYHouston, Florida, Duke, Iowa StateHouston over Florida
Dick VitaleESPNMichigan State, Florida, Duke, HoustonDuke over Florida
Gary ParrishCBS SportsAuburn, Florida, Duke, HoustonAuburn over Houston
Jay BilasESPNAuburn, Florida, Duke, HoustonFlorida over Duke
Jerry BalmCBS SportsMichigan State, Florida, Duke, HoustonFlorida over Houston
Jeff BorzelloESPNFlorida, Auburn, Duke, HoustonFlorida over Duke
John FantaFOX SportsMichigan State, Florida, Duke, HoustonFlorida over Houston
Kerry MillerBleacher ReportAuburn, Texas Tech, Duke, HoustonDuke over Auburn
Kyle BooneCBS SportsAuburn, Texas Tech, Duke, HoustonDuke over Auburn
Michael CohenFOX SportsFlorida, Michigan State, Florida, Duke, HoustonDuke over Florida
Nicole AuerbachNBC SportsMichigan State, Duke, Houston, FloridaDuke over Michigan State
Pat FordeSports IllustratedMichigan State, Florida, Duke, HoustonFlorida over Houston

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